Early reports
A long history of informal accounts of noticing an unseen gaze — almost none of it instrumented, and almost none of it blinded.
A condition-blinded receiver stands at the centre of a ring. On each trial a transmitter either looks at them from one of the marked positions, or does not look at all. The receiver commits a continuous bearing. The question is whether that bearing is closer to the true position than chance allows.
The confirmatory session is 200 trials long, at 0.005 one-sided on the V-test (modified Rayleigh), wrapped error, hypothesised direction 0°, one-sided. Those three numbers were fixed before any human was run, and the reason is the history below.
A long history of informal accounts of noticing an unseen gaze — almost none of it instrumented, and almost none of it blinded.
The earliest laboratory tests, around the turn of the twentieth century, treated the belief as a superstition to be dismantled — and found nothing beyond chance.
Later work reported positive results, but the strongest of them came from designs with trial-by-trial feedback and imperfectly random sequences. When careful replications removed both, the effect disappeared, and the field’s own meta-analysis shrinks toward zero in its best-evidence subset.
Feedback that teaches, sequences that are not truly random, yes/no response bias, experimenter effects, ordinary gaze cues leaking through imperfect shielding, and analysis decisions made after seeing the data. The full account, with references, is a Research Room document.
Every controlled study located by the review asks a binary question: “Am I being stared at — yes or no?” None of them measured the direction of an unseen observer.
A directional question: from which direction is the unseen observer located? The receiver commits a continuous bearing around the ring, so a yes/no bias has no preferred direction to exploit, and chance is one sector of several — not one flip of two.
A positive GEO result would mean that a condition-blinded receiver's reported bearings contain statistically detectable directional information about the true location of the unseen observer, beyond what chance predicts, under the pre-specified analysis. The confirmatory endpoint is the receiver's committed directional bearing; eye tracking is not the primary confirmatory endpoint. By itself, the result identifies no physical carrier and no mechanism.
A null result is meaningful in the same plan: under the tested conditions, at the locked power and analysis, no detectable directional effect was observed — which constrains how large such an effect could be. Both outcomes are reportable. That posture is built into the frozen plan rather than decided after the numbers arrive.